干旱气象 ›› 2024, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (6): 854-864.DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639-2024-06-0854

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

台风“温比亚”引发山东极端暴雨的锋生机制分析

高晓梅1,2(), 丛春华1(), 李峰1, 王世杰2, 侯启3, 封雅琼2   

  1. 1.山东省气象防灾减灾重点实验室,山东 济南 250031
    2.山东省潍坊市气象局,山东 潍坊 261011
    3.山东省日照市气象局,山东 日照 276800
  • 收稿日期:2023-06-28 修回日期:2023-10-15 出版日期:2024-12-31 发布日期:2025-01-15
  • 通讯作者: 丛春华(1975—),女,正高级工程师,主要从事天气预报研究。E-mail:632900631@qq.com
  • 作者简介:高晓梅(1974—),女,正高级工程师,主要从事灾害性天气预报研究。E-mail:wfmeizi@126.com
  • 基金资助:
    山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2023MD118);山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2021MD010);中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2023J015);山东省气象局重点项目(2024sdqxz10);山东省气象局重点项目(2023sdqxz11);华东区域气象科技协同创新基金项目(QYHZ201812);山东台风与海洋气象创新团队项目(SDCXTD2021-2);山东省气象局预报员专项(SDYBY2019-10);山东省气象局预报员专项(SDYBY2018-10)

Analysis on the frontogenesis mechanism of an extreme rainstorm in Shandong Province caused by Typhoon “Rumbia”

GAO Xiaomei1,2(), CONG Chunhua1(), LI Feng1, WANG Shijie2, HOU Qi3, FENG Yaqiong2   

  1. 1. Key Laboratory for Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Mitigation of Shandong Province, Ji’nan 250031, China
    2. Weifang Meteorological Bureau of Shandong Province, Weifang 261011, Shandong, China
    3. Rizhao Meteorological Bureau of Shandong Province, Rizhao 276800, Shandong, China
  • Received:2023-06-28 Revised:2023-10-15 Online:2024-12-31 Published:2025-01-15

摘要:

台风“温比亚”是山东致灾最严重的热带气旋,引发了山东罕见的洪涝灾害。本文利用常规气象观测、美国国家环境预报中心再分析资料及自动气象站降雨量观测资料,对2018年8月17—20日由台风“温比亚”引发山东极端暴雨的锋生机制进行分析。结果表明,台风“温比亚”影响山东的降水分为台风外围云系降水、中低纬系统相互作用降水和台风倒槽降水3个阶段。此次台风大暴雨的锋生区主要在低层,锋生区位置与冷空气位置密切相关,强降水落区与锋生区位置较为吻合,锋生强度大值中心与大暴雨中心对应较好,锋生强度对未来6 h降雨有指示意义;假相当位温(θse)等值线密集带南侧的辐合流场是促进锋生的关键,此次暴雨过程伸长变形锋生区与散度辐合中心、θse大值中心及总锋生区位置分布较为一致,伸长变形项、切变变形项和散度项都对总锋生有正贡献;此次台风暴雨由锋生动力作用产生,锋生次级环流上升支最强区域正对应暴雨最强区域。在强水汽输送、辐合作用和对流不稳定强的条件下,台风倒槽辐合与强锋生次级环流共同作用产生强上升运动,且动力抬升作用迅速增强,导致水汽强烈辐合并向高层输送,形成山东特大暴雨;暴雨区位于700 hPa正螺旋度中心及其右侧位置,正螺旋度迅速增强时段与强降水时段相对应,正螺旋度大值中心下移到900 hPa附近可预示台风强降水减弱。

关键词: 台风, 特大暴雨, 锋生, 次级环流, 螺旋度

Abstract:

Typhoon “Rumbia” was the most disastrous tropical cyclone, triggering rare floods in Shandong. Based on the conventional meteorological observation data, the reanalysis data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, and the precipitation data from automatic weather stations, the frontogenesis mechanism of an extreme rainstorm in Shandong Province caused by Typhoon“Rumbia” from 17 to 20 August 2018 was studied in this paper. The results indicate that the precipitation affected by Typhoon “Rumbia”can be divided into three stages: the precipitation of the typhoon outer cloud system, the precipitation of the interaction of the middle and low latitude weather systems and the precipitation triggered by the typhoon trough. The frontogenesis area of the typhoon rainstorm is mainly in the lower level, and the location of the frontogenesis area is closely related to the location of the cold air. The locations of the heavy precipitation are consistent with the frontogenesis area. The large-value center of frontogenesis intensity corresponds well to the center of the heavy rainstorm, and the intensity of frontogenesis can well indicate the rainfall in the next 6 hours. Favorable convergence flow field on the south side of the dense area of pseudo-equivalent potential temperature (θse) lines was the key to cause frontogenesis. The location of the elongation deformation frontogenesis is consistent with the convergence center of the divergence, the large value center of θse and the total frontogenesis area in this rainstorm process is consistent. The elongation deformation term, shear deformation term and divergence term all contribute positively to the total frontogenesis. The typhoon rainstorm is caused by frontogenerative dynamics, and the area with the strongest ascending motion of the frontal secondary circulation corresponds to the area of the strongest rainstorm. Under the conditions of strong water vapor transport, convergence and strong convective instability, the convergence of typhoon trough and strong frontogenic secondary circulation together produce strong upward movement, and the dynamic uplift effect is rapidly enhanced, resulting in strong convergence of water vapor and transport to the upper level and causing extremely heavy rain in Shandong Province. The rainstorm area is located at the 700 hPa positive helicity center and its right side, and the period of rapid enhancement of positive helicity corresponds to the period of heavy precipitation, and the maximum value center of positive helicity moves down to the vicinity of 900 hPa, which indicates the weakening of typhoon heavy precipitation.

Key words: typhoon, extraordinary heavy rain, frontogenesis, secondary circulation, helicity

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