J4 ›› 2009, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (1): 18-23.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

石家庄暴雨的气候特征和变化规律

卞 韬1,2王丽荣李国翠高 祺   

  1. 1.兰州大学大气科学学院,甘肃兰州 730000;2河北省石家庄市气象局,河北石家庄05008
  • 收稿日期:2008-12-25 修回日期:2009-01-08 出版日期:2009-03-31 发布日期:2009-03-30
  • 作者简介:卞韬(1977-),女,河北鹿泉人,工程师,现从事天气预报工作.E-mail:biantao4680@sina.com

Clima tic Character istics and Change Rule of Rain storm in Sh ijiazhuang of Hebe i Prov ince

BIAN  Tao 1,2, WANG Li-Rong2, LI Guo-Cui2, GAO  Qi2   

  1. 1. College of A tm ospheric Science, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China;
    2. Shijiazhuang M eteorological B ureau of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang 050081, China
  • Received:2008-12-25 Revised:2009-01-08 Online:2009-03-31 Published:2009-03-30

摘要:

利用石家庄地区17个观测站1972~2007年的逐日降水资料,采用线性趋势、统计学方法、功率谱方法以及Mann-Kendall法分析了石家庄地区暴雨的气候特征和变化规律,并运用皮尔逊相关系数分析了暴雨日数和高温日数的关系。结果表明:近36a中,石家庄地区少暴雨年明显多于多暴雨年,正常年份则趋于正常;在季节分布上,4~11月均会出现暴雨,以6~9月为明显,但主要集中在7、8月;暴雨发生次数6月上升趋势最明显,7月下降趋势明显;在旬季分布上,暴雨从5月中旬开始缓慢增加,7月上旬则急剧增加,8月上旬达到峰值,而后开始下降。6月下旬的上升趋势最明显,7月下旬的下降趋势最明显;在空间分布上,石家庄的暴雨发生次数从西北、东南向内部逐渐减少;各站年均暴雨次数均在1d以上。石家庄地区的西部、北部、东北部的年暴雨次数呈上升趋势,东部、南部、西北和市区的年暴雨次数则呈下降趋势。年均暴雨发生次数存在4a、3a和2.18a的显著周期。石家庄的年均暴雨次数和年均高温日数之间存在显著的负相关关系。

关键词: 暴雨, 频次, 周期, 相关系数

Abstract:

Based on the daily p recip itation data from 17 meteorological stations in Shijiazhuang area during 1972 - 2007, the climatic
characteristics and change rule of rainstorm occurred in Shijiazhuang were analyzed using the linear trend, the statistical method, the
power spectrum method aswell as theMann - Kendall test, and the relation between rainstorm days and high temperature dayswas ana
lyzed in light of the Pearson correlation coefficient. Results indicated that less rainstorm years are obviouslymore in the recent 36 years
in Shijiazhuang area. In seasonal distribution, rainstorm appeared in Ap ril to November butmainly concentrated in July and August; The
increase ( decrease) trend of rainstorm ismost remarkable in June (July) ; The rainstorm started to increase slowly from the second - ten
- day ofMay, and sharp increased in early July, then achieved the peak in earlyAugust; Rainstorm number increase ( decrease) trend
ismost obvious in late June ( late July). In spatial distribution, rainstorm days decreased gradually from northwest, southeast to interior
area in Shijiazhuang, and yearly mean rainstorm days in each station is above one day. Annual rainstorm days p resented increasing
trend in the west, north and northeast of Shijiazhuang area, but decreasing trend in the east, south and northwest aswell as urban dis
trict. There is four and three years periodical change in the number of rainstorm, and negative correlation between rainstorm days and
high temperature days in Shijiazhuang area.

Key words: rainstorm, frequency, period, correlation coefficient

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