J4 ›› 2007, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (2): 12-16.

• 综述 • 上一篇    下一篇

农业产量预报技术的研究和应用

尹东   

  1. 中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所,中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室,甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室,兰州中心气象台,甘肃兰州730020
  • 收稿日期:2007-05-26 修回日期:2007-06-06 出版日期:2007-06-30 发布日期:2007-06-30
  • 作者简介:尹东(1962一),男,正研级高级工程师,主要从事应用气象研究和业务.E—mail:lzyind@slna.120111
  • 基金资助:

    甘肃省科技攻关计划项目(GS022一A45—149)资助

Research and Application of Agricultural Yield Forecast Technique in China

 YIN Dong   

  1. Institute ofArid Meteorology,CMA;Key Open Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Reducing Disaster of CMA;Key Laboratory ofArid Clima tic Change and Reducing Disaster ofGansu Province;Lanzhou CentralMeteorological Observatory,Lanzhou 730020,China
  • Received:2007-05-26 Revised:2007-06-06 Online:2007-06-30 Published:2007-06-30

摘要:

对气象、农业生物、经济计量、作物生长动力模拟这几种农业产量预报技术方法在国内的研究和应用情况进行分析、总结和评价,论述各种方法的基本原理、适用情况和改进途径,提出综合性预报方法思路。

关键词: 农业产量, 预报, 技术

Abstract:

The research and application of several methods for agricultural yield forecast in China were summarized and assessed,inch—ding meteorology,agrobiology ,econometrics an d dynamic simulation for crop growth,etc.Th e principles,application conditions an dimproving approaches of those method s were discussed,and an idea of compositive forecast for agricultural yield was put forward.

Key words: agricultural yield, forecast, technique

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