关键词: 道路结冰, 时空分布, 风险预警, 陕西

Abstract: Research on highway traffic disaster risk is a new direction for the development of professional meteorological services, and it is an important content of traffic weather forecasting services in future. Based on the ground observation data at 94 weather stations in Shaanxi from 1980 to 2017, the temporal-spatial change characteristics of road icing under different weather conditions were analyzed by using EOF method, etc., firstly. And the risk warning model of road icing in Shaanxi was discussed and established. The results show that there were two centers of road icing in the northwest of Guanzhong to the west of northern Shaanxi and Shenmu of northern Shaanxi, and the ratio of sleet or snowfall road icing was the maximum. The road icing mainly occurred from November to next March in Shaanxi, and the beginning date of road icing generally occurred in mid-to-late October in northern Shaanxi and Guanzhong, while that occurred later in November in southern Shaanxi, but the ending date of road icing mainly occurred in March and April in three regions, and the road icing days in January was the most. After the 1990s, the days of road icing decreased. The risk warning model of road icing was established and applied to business system in Shaanxi, and it could complete automatic production, the prediction effect was better.

Key words: road icing, temporal-spatial distribution, risk warning, Shaanxi Province