干旱气象

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呼伦贝尔不同生态区生长季降水集中度和集中期时空变化特征

金林雪刘昊王海梅   

  1. 内蒙古自治区生态与农业气象中心,内蒙古呼和浩特010051
  • 出版日期:2018-06-30 发布日期:2018-06-30

Growing Season in Different Ecological Regions of Hulunbeir

JIN Linxue, LIU Hao, WANG Haimei   

  1. Ecological and Agricultural Meteorological Center in Inner Mongolia, Huhhot 010051, China
  • Online:2018-06-30 Published:2018-06-30

摘要:

基于呼伦贝尔地区16个气象站1961—2016年生长季逐候降水资料,统计分析了呼伦贝尔不同生态区降水集中度(PCD)和集中期(PCP)的时空变化特征及其与干旱发生的关系。结果表明:(1)呼伦贝尔地区PCD与PCP空间分布特征明显,PCD总体表现为由东北向西南递增,PCP总体由西北向东南递减;(2)1961年以来,呼伦贝尔大部分地区PCD和PCP均表现为下降趋势,即整体上降水趋于均匀、最大降水出现时间趋于提前;(3)PCD无明显突变现象,PCP在1978年发生突变;(4)PCD、PCP与干旱灾情发生一致率为牧区>林区>农区,其中牧区PCD、PCP与干旱的一致率均达80%以上,说明牧区干旱发生与降水集中程度关系最为密切。

关键词: 呼伦贝尔, 降水集中度, 降水集中期, 干旱

Abstract:

Based on the pentad precipitation data of 16 meteorological stations in Hulunbeir from 1961 to 2016, this paper analyzed the characteristics of spatial and temporal distributions and variations of the precipitation concentration degree (PCD) and precipitation concentration period(PCP)in growing seasons, and the relationship between precipitation concentration and the occurrence of drought was revealed. The results are as follows: (1) The spatial distribution characteristics of PCD and PCP were obvious in Hulunbeir, PCD increased from northeast to southwest, and the PCP decreased from northwest to southeast. (2) Since 1961, the PCD and PCP both showed a downward variation trend, which meant that the precipitation tended to be uniform, and the maximum precipitation appeared earlier. (3) Mann-kendall test and moving t-test showed that the PCD in Hulunbeir was no obvious mutation in recent 55 years, and the PCP mutation occurred in 1978. (4) The coincidence rate of precipitation concentration and drought disaster in different ecological regions showed that the pastoral region was the highest, next was the forest region, and the agricultural region was the lowest, and coincidence rate in pastoral region was more than 80%, which indicated that the occurrence of drought was most closely related to the concentration degree of precipitation in pastoral region.

Key words: Hulunbeir, PCD, PCP, drought