干旱气象 ›› 2025, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (2): 221-230.

• 论文 • 上一篇    

夏季青藏高原及周边地区大气热源与川渝盆地高温日数年际变化的关系

黄小梅1 ,周长艳1 ,庞轶舒1,2 ,于浩慧3 ,甘薇薇1
  

  1. 1. 四川省气候中心,四川 成都 610072;2. 高原与盆地暴雨旱涝灾害四川省重点实验室,四川 成都 610072;
    3. 四川省气象灾害防御技术中心,四川 成都 610072
  • 出版日期:2025-04-30 发布日期:2025-05-13
  • 作者简介:黄小梅(1987—),女,四川绵阳人,副研究员,主要从事青藏高原气候变化研究。E-mail: hxmlovely@163. com。

Relationship between atmospheric heat source over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and its surrounding area and annual variation of high temperature days in Summer in Sichuan-Chongqing Basin

HUANG Xiaomei1, ZHOU Changyan1, PANG Yishu1,2, YU Haohui3, GAN Weiwei1
  

  1. 1. The Climate Center of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610072, China;
    2. Heavy Rain and Drought-Flood Disasters in Plateau and Basin Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610072, China;
    3. Meteorological Disaster Prevention Technology Center of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610072, China
  • Online:2025-04-30 Published:2025-05-13

摘要:

研究青藏高原及周边地区夏季大气热源与川渝盆地高温日数变化的关系对川渝盆地高温预测及高温干旱灾害防御有重要意义。基于 1979-2022年川渝盆地 125个气象站的夏季(6—8月)日最 高 气 温 资 料 和 NCEP/NCAR(National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research)逐月再分析资料,分析了川渝盆地夏季高温日数的时空分布特征及其年际变化与青藏高原及周边大气热源的关系。结果表明:盆地高温日数EOF(Empirical Orthogonal Function)第一模态表现为全区一致型,高温日数在1979-2022年呈明显增多趋势,且存在明显的年际和年代际变化。夏季盆地高温日数年际变化与高原东部及其东侧大气热源强度关系密切,当高原关键区大气热源偏弱(强)时,盆地高温日数明显偏多(少)。在年际尺度上,当高原东部及其东侧热源偏弱时,南亚高压偏东偏北,西太平洋副热带高压偏西偏北,从西太平洋和南海以及孟加拉湾向盆地输送的水汽减弱,配合盆地上空显著的下沉运动异常,导致降水偏少,高温日数偏多。同时,盆地上空总云量偏少,到达地面的太阳短波辐射通量显著增加,导致地面气温升高,高温日数偏多。当高原东部及其东侧大气热源偏强时,环流异常形势有利于盆地高温日数偏少。

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Abstract:

It is of great significance to study the relationship between summer atmospheric heat source over the Qinghai-Xizang Pla⁃
teau and its surrounding area and the number of high temperature days in the Sichuan-Chongqing Basin for summer high temperature prediction and high temperature and drought disaster prevention. Based on the daily maximum temperature data of 125 meteorological stations in the Sichuan Chongqing Basin and monthly NCEP/NCAR (National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research) reanalysis dataset, the characteristics of summer high temperature days in the Sichuan-Chongqing Basin and relationship between the inter-annual variation of high temperature days there and atmospheric heat source over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and its surrounding area are discussed. The results show that the first mode of EOF decomposition of high temperature days presented a consistent type in the whole region, which can reflect the main distribution characteristic of summer high temperature days. The summer high temperature days in the basin significantly increased from 1979 to 2022, showing obvious inter-annual and interdecadal variation characteristics. There is a close relationship between the atmospheric heat source over the eastern part and its eastern side of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and the inter-annual variation of summer high temperature days in the basin. When the heat source over the key region of the plateau is relatively weak (strong), the corresponding high temperature days in the basin are significantly more (less). On the inter-annual scale, when the atmospheric heat source over the eastern part and its eastern side of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau is weaker than normal, the position of South Asian high shifts northeastward, and the western Pacific subtropical high shifts northwestward, The water vapor transport from the South China Sea, western Pacific, and Bay of Bengal to the basin is significantly weakened, combined with significant subsidence anomalies over the basin, resulting in less precipitation and high temperature days there. At the same time, the total cloud cover in the basin is less than normal, and the short-wave solar radiation flux reaching the ground increases significantly, resulting in a rise in ground temperature and an increase in the number of high-temperature days. When the atmospheric
heat source over the eastern part of the plateau and its eastern side is relatively strong, the circulation pattern is beneficial for reducing the number of high temperature days in the basin.

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