干旱气象 ›› 2020, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (1): 89-99.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于人口和能耗数据估算北京人为热排放

王耀庭,孟春雷,苗世光,郑祚芳,李青春#br#   

  1. (Institute of Urban Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100089, China)

  • 出版日期:2020-02-29 发布日期:2020-03-13
  • 作者简介:王耀庭(1976— ),男,白族,博士,副研究员,主要从事人居环境和大气污染的研究工作. E-mail:ytwang@ium.cn。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(41875125)、国家重点研发计划重点专项(2019YFB2102901)、北京市自然科学基金项目(8202022)及北京市自然科学基金重点项目(8171002)共同资助

Estimation of Anthropogenic Heat Emission in Beijing Based on Population and Energy Consumption Data

WANG Yaoting, MENG Chunlei, MIAO Shiguang, ZHENG Zuofang, LI Qingchun   

  1. (Institute of Urban Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100089, China)
  • Online:2020-02-29 Published:2020-03-13

摘要: 利用2002、2010、2015年北京地区空间分辨率为1 km×1 km的人口密度和统计年鉴的总人口、车辆数、道路面积、12类能耗数据,获取能耗分时系数,优化由交通产生的人为热计算方法,计算北京地区冬、夏季节人为热,并研究其时空分布特征。结果表明,人为热主要由交通产生,最低占比40%,高峰期可达80%。电力、能耗产生的人为热各占约15%,冬季供热占比约15%,人体代谢约3%。交通产生的人为热呈早晚双峰结构,分别发生在08:00和18:00(北京时,下同);电力产生的人为热冬季为双峰结构,峰值在09:00和20:00,夏季为弧形结构,弧顶发生在15:00;能耗产生的人为热冬季为主、次峰形态,主峰出现在09:00,次峰出现在18:00,夏季为单峰形态,18:00为峰值。一天中01:00—11:00,电力和能耗产生的人为热冬季大于夏季,其余时间相反;夏季00:00—07:00,电力产生的人为热大于能耗,其余时间能耗大于电力;冬季所有时刻,能耗产生的人为热大于电力。2002—2015年人为热逐年增大,冬季峰值从130 W·m-2增至330 W·m-2,夏季从120 W·m-2增至300 W·m-2。交通产生的人为热逐年大幅增大;电力产生的人为热2015年最大,约为20 W·m-2,2010和2015年接近,但比2002年都有明显增加;能耗产生的人为热呈现出与电力完全相反的特点。人为热空间分布与人口密度分布有很强的相关性,人为热高值区主要在人口密集的城市核心区,2002年冬、夏人为热最大值分别为300、240 W·m-2,2010年分别为660、431 W·m-2,2015年分别为666、423 W·m-2。

关键词: 人为热, 污染, 人口密度, 能源消耗, 时空变化

Abstract: The anthropogenic heat emission in winter and summer of Beijing was estimated based on 1 km×1 km spatial resolution population density and the total population data, vehicle number data, road area data, and 12 types of energy consumption data in the statistical yearbooks in 2002, 2010 and 2015. At the same time, the time-sharing coefficients of energy consumption were obtained. The calculation method of the anthropogenic heating emission generated by transportation was improved, and the time-space distribution characteristics of the anthropogenic heat were analyzed. The results show that the anthropogenic heat was mainly produced by traffic, with a minimum of 40% and maximum of 80%. The anthropogenic heat produced by electricity and fuel combustion accounted for about 15%, respectively, and winter heating accounted for about 15%, and the human metabolism accounted for about 3%. Anthropogenic heat generated by traffic showed a double peak structure with the peak values at 08:00 and 18:00, respectively. The anthropogenic heat generated by electricity was a bimodal structure in winter with the peak values at 09:00 and 20:00, respectively. In summer, it was an arc structure with the arc top at 15:00. The anthropogenic heat produced by the energy consumption had two peaks in winter, the main peak was at 09:00, and the secondary peak was at 18:00. There was a single peak shape in summer with the peak value at 18:00. During the day, from 01:00 to 11:00, the artificial heat generated by electricity and energy consumption in winter was greater than that in summer, and at the rest  time of the day, just on the contrary. In summer, from 00:00 to 07:00, the artificial heat generated by electric power was greater than that generated by energy consumption; and in other times, the anthropogenic heat generated by energy consumption was greater than that generated by electric power. In the whole winter, the artificial heat generated by energy consumption was greater than that of electric power. The peak value of anthropogenic heat increased from 130 to 330 W·m-2 in winter and from 120 to 300 W·m-2 in summer from 2002 to 2015. The anthropogenic heat generated by traffic increased significantly year by year. The anthropogenic heat generated by electricity consumption was the largest in 2015, which was about 20 W·m-2, it was close to that in 2010, but it increased significantly since 2002. The anthropogenic heat produced by energy consumption had completely opposite characteristics to that produced by electric power, it gradually decreased from 2002 to 2015. There was a strong correlation between the spatial distribution of anthropogenic heat and the distribution of population density. The areas of high anthropogenic heat also were densely populated urban core areas. The maximum anthropogenic heat in winter and summer in 2002 were 300 and 240 W·m-2, and 660 and 431 W·m-2 in 2010, and 666 and 423 W·m-2 in 2015.



Key words:  anthropogenic heat, pollution, population density, energy consumption, spatial-temporal variation

中图分类号: