干旱气象 ›› 2025, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (2): 242-253.

• 论文 • 上一篇    

四川盆地一次极端暴雨过程的演变及成因分析

李 梦1,2 ,竹 利1,2 ,张悦含3
  

  1. 1. 高原与盆地暴雨旱涝灾害四川省重点实验室,四川 成都 610072;2. 川东北强天气研究南充市重点实验室,
    四川 南充 637000;3. 中国气象局气象干部培训学院,北京 100081
  • 出版日期:2025-04-30 发布日期:2025-05-13
  • 作者简介:李梦(1990—),女,高级工程师,主要从事应用气象与气象服务方面工作。E-mail:761640401@qq. com。

Evolution and cause analysis of an extreme rainstorm process in the Sichuan Basin

LI Meng1,2 , ZHU Li1,2 , ZHANG Yuehan3   

  1. 1. Heavy rain and Drought-Flood Disaster in Plateau and Basin Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610072, China;
    2. Severe Weather in Northeast Sichuan Key Laboratory of Nanchong City, Nanchong 637000, Sichuan, China;
    3. China Meteorological Administration Training Centre, Beijing 100081, China
  • Online:2025-04-30 Published:2025-05-13

摘要:

2021年8月7日20:00—8日20:00四川盆地东北部地区发生了一次极端暴雨过程,其日降雨量和夜雨阶段的小时雨量突破历史极值。本文利用气象观测资料、多普勒雷达及 ERA5再分析资料对此次过程的演变及成因进行分析。结果表明:1)过程发生前700 hPa假相当位温(θse)偏离气候平均值2.5倍标准差,700、850、925 hPa比湿均偏离2倍标准差以上;2)稳定的地面辐合区和中低层低涡切变系统持续触发新生对流,并不断与原有对流系统合并形成“列车效应”,确保原对流系统维持发展;3)低层暖湿空气与干冷空气交汇形成稳定的θse锋区,形成的经向暖湿上升气流与纬向次级闭合环流的上升气流共同作用,为对流系统提供稳定的能量和水汽输送;700 hPa附近的辐合风场配合中低层经向次级环流中下沉偏北气流的阻挡作用,使对流系统呈现准静止“后向传播”特征,有利于此次极端暴雨的形成。

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Abstract:

An extreme rainstorm occurred in the northeastern region of the Sichuan Basin from 20:00 on 7 to 20:00 on 8 August 2021,
with the daily rainfall and the hourly rainfall during the night rain period breaking historical records. The meteorological observation
data, Doppler radar data and ERA5 reanalysis data were utilized to analyze the evolution and causes of this process. The results are as follows: 1) Before the process, the pseudo-equivalent potential temperature (θse) at 700 hPa deviated from the climate average by 2.5 standard deviations, and the specific humidity at 700, 850, and 925 hPa all deviated by more than 2 standard deviations. 2) The stable ground convergence zone and the low vortex shear system in the middle and lower layers continuously triggered new convection and constantly merged with the original convection system to form “train effect”, ensuring the maintenance and development of the original convection system; 3) The convergence of low-level warm-humid air and dry-cold air formed a stable θse front area, the meridional warm and humid updraft, together with the updraft of the zonal secondary closed circulation, provided stable energy and water vapor transportation for the convective system. The convergence wind field near 700 hPa, in combination with the blocking effect of the descending and northerly airflow in the meridional secondary circulation at the middle and lower levels, made the convective system present a quasi-stationary “backward propagation” feature, which was conducive to the formation of this extreme rainstorm.

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