干旱气象 ›› 2021, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (2): 235-243.DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2021)-02-0235

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江流域夏季极端降水时空分布特征

郭广芬,杜良敏,肖莺,高雅琦,吴瑶   

  1. 武汉区域气候中心,湖北 武汉 430074
  • 出版日期:2021-04-30 发布日期:2021-05-07
  • 作者简介:郭广芬(1980— ),女,高级工程师,主要从事短期气候预测及异常气候诊断研究.
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划(2017YFC1502306)、中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2021Z033)和湖北省气象局研究型业务基金(2019YJ02)共同资助

Spatio-temporal Distribution Characteristics of Summer Extreme Precipitation in the Yangtze River Basin

GUO Guangfen, DU Liangmin, XIAO Ying, GAO Yaqi, WU Yao   

  1. Wuhan Regional Climate Center, Wuhan 430074, China
  • Online:2021-04-30 Published:2021-05-07

摘要: 利用1961—2017年长江流域700个气象站夏季(6—8月)逐日降水量资料,采用泰森多边形法计算各子流域面雨量,通过Box-Cox变换和百分位法确定长江各子流域极端降水事件阈值,分析各子流域夏季极端降水事件的时空分布特征以及流域间降水空间配置关系。结论如下:(1)长江流域夏季极端降水事件的年代际特征明显,20世纪60年代至70年代极端少雨事件频发,20世纪80年代至90年代中下游以极端多雨事件为主,上游以极端少雨事件为主,21世纪以来以大范围极端少雨事件为主,且多发生在上游,而金沙江石鼓以上易发生极端多雨事件。(2)长江流域夏季极端降水前2个空间分布模态表现为:流域大部一致型,即岷沱江东部、嘉陵江北部及两湖南部夏季极端降水与流域其他地区呈反位相;南北反位相型,即长江以南与以北地区夏季极端降水呈相反的空间分布。(3)当夏季极端多雨时,长江流域夏季降水空间差异较大,空间分布格局大致有4类,但以沿江干流偏多为主;夏季极端少雨时,长江流域夏季降水空间一致性较高,以全流域大部偏少为主,仅岷沱江和嘉陵江或者两湖南部偏多。

关键词: 夏季极端降水事件, 面雨量, 时空特征, 长江流域

Abstract:  Based on daily precipitation data at 700 meteorological stations of the Yangtze River basin from June to August during 1961-2017, the areal precipitation in each sub-zone was calculated by using Thiessen polygon method, and converted to normal distribution by using Box-Cox transformation. The thresholds of extreme precipitation events in summer were determined by using percentile method in each sub-zone of the Yangtze River basin. And on this basis, the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of summer extreme precipitation events in each sub-zone and their spatial relationships of precipitation among sub-basins were studied. The results are as follows:(1) The decadal characteristic of summer extreme precipitation events in the Yangtze River basin was obvious. The extreme rainless events occurred frequently in the 1960s and 1970s, and the extreme rainy events dominated in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, while the extreme rainless events dominated in the upper reaches in the 1980s and 1990s. Since the 21st century, the large-range extreme rainless events dominated and occurred mainly in the upper reaches, while the extreme rainy event was easily to occur in Shigu of Jinsha River and above. (2) The first mode of summer extreme precipitation decomposed by EOF was consistently negative in most parts of the Yangtze River basin except for the east of Mintuo River, the north of Jialing River and the south of Poyang and Dongting Lakes during 1961-2017, vice versa. The second mode appeared opposite phases in the north and the south of the Yangtze River basin. (3) When the precipitation was extremely more in summer in the Yangtze River basin, the spatial distribution of summer precipitation had obvious differences and appeared four kinds of patterns, but the precipitation was easily more in the main streams of the Yangtze River. When the extreme rainless events occurred in summer, the precipitation was consistently less in most sub-zones, while for Mintuo River and Jialing River or the south of two lakes it was more.

Key words: summer extreme precipitation events, areal precipitation, spatio-temporal distribution characteristics, the Yangtze River basin

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