干旱气象

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内蒙古牧区干旱灾害风险分布特征及区划

乌兰1王海梅2,刘  昊2   

  1. 1.内蒙古自治区气象科学研究所,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010051;
    2.内蒙古自治区生态与农业气象中心,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010051
  • 出版日期:2017-12-29 发布日期:2017-12-29
  • 作者简介:乌兰(1977— ),女,硕士,工程师,主要从事生态气象科研工作. E-mail:houxuena@126.com。
  • 基金资助:

    公益性行业(气象)科研专项(重大专项)“中国干旱气象科学研究——我国北方干旱致灾过程及机理”(GYHY201506001-3)和内蒙古气象局“内蒙古农牧业精细化气候区划——牧区灾害风险区划”项目共同资助

Characteristics and Regionalization of Drought Risk Distribution in Pastoral Areas of Inner Mongolia

Wulan1, WANG Haimei2, LIU Hao2   

  1. 1. Inner Mongolia Meteorological Institute, Hohhot 010051,China;
    2. Ecological and Agricultural Meteorological Center,Hohhot 010051, China
  • Online:2017-12-29 Published:2017-12-29

摘要:

以内蒙古51个牧业旗县为研究区域,选取牧区频繁发生的旱灾为研究对象,从旱灾的致灾因子危险性、孕灾环境敏感性、承灾体易损性和防灾减灾能力4个方面着手,利用自然灾害风险指数法、专家打分法、熵权系数法和层次分析法,确定风险评估的指标及其权重,建立牧业干旱灾害风险评估模型,借助GIS技术,完成内蒙古牧区干旱灾害风险分布特征分析及其区划。结果表明:内蒙古牧区干旱高风险区呈带状分布,主要集中在沿贺兰山—阴山—大兴安岭南段一带,包括鄂尔多斯中部和东北部、巴彦淖尔市北部的部分地区、包头中部、呼和浩特市中部、乌兰察布市中部、锡林郭勒盟偏南地区、赤峰市北部、通辽市西北部地区,以上地区海拔高,地形以中、低丘陵为主,干旱致灾因子危险性高、孕灾环境敏感性高且承灾体易损性也高。

关键词: 内蒙古牧区, 旱灾, 风险区划

Abstract:

The 51 animal husbandry banners/counties of Inner Mongolia were taken as study area, and  drought disaster occurring frequently there was chosen as the research object in this paper. Started with four aspects including the risk of factors causing drought disaster, the sensitivity of disaster environment, vulnerability of hazard-affected body and the ability of disaster prevention and mitigation, the risk assessment indicators and their weights were determined by using expert scoring method, entropy weight coefficient method and analytic hierarchy, and drought disaster risk assessment model was established with the help of GIS technology, finally, the drought disaster risk zoning work in pastoral areas of Inner Mongolia was completed. The results show that the high risk areas in pastoral area of Inner Mongolia presented zonal distribution, which mainly concentrated in the regions along the Helan Mountain, the Yinshan Mountain and the south part of Greater Khingan range, including the central and northeastern parts of Erdos, the part of northern Bayan Nur, the central of Baotou, the central of Hohhot, the central of Wulanchabu, the south part of Xilinguole, the northern of Chifeng, and the northwest area of Tongliao, where there are the same features of high elevation, terrain dominated by middle and low hills, high risk of factors causing disaster, high sensitivity of disaster environment, and high vulnerability of hazard-affected body.

Key words: pastoral area of Inner Mongolia, drought, risk zoning

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