J4 ›› 2005, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (1): 72-77.
Previous Articles Next Articles
YAN Hua-Sheng, CAO Jie, XIE Ying-Ji
Received:
Revised:
Online:
Published:
严华生,曹杰,谢应齐
作者简介:
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目( 40065001)资助
Abstract:
Developed from linear StatlShCa1 anB}yS1S} non-linear StatlShCa1 fnreeaSt meth0(1S f)eenme One aSpeCt Of StatlShCal method. In TCCent yPaCS} non-linear StatlShCa1 fnreeaSt method Ina}PS great pTOgTCSS f)Llt SyStematlC 1ntT0(1LIChOn 1S Still laCl}. In tI11S hahPT} Study TCSLI1tS and appllCatlOn eXampleS Stlldled by aLIthOT In TCCent yeaTS aCe Slnnmed Llp. The method Of paCanleteT CalClllatlng and the StatlShCal fnreeaSt m0(le1S Of Single independent VaClaf)le aCe S110Wn In tI11S paper. 1Vlany fnreeaSt meth0(1S aCe 1ntT0(1LICP(1} SLICK aS fitting 11nCaT} half-linear and CLITVe-linear fnreeaSt n10(1C1S} SLIhSCChOn appTOaCh m0(lel and analog fnreeaSt method. It a1S0 S110WS the example index of non-linear statistical forecast models.
Key words: non-linear, statistical method, forecast model
摘要:
从线性统计分析向非线性统计分析发展,从而逐步建立非线性统计预报方法,已成为统计学方法发展的方向之一。虽然非线性统计预报这此年来有了较大发展,但却缺少系统的介绍。作者将自己的研究成果及应用实例归纳整理,对非线性统计预报中参数计算基木方法,一个自变量时的统计预报模型,拟线性、半线性和曲线性预报模式,分段逼近模式,插值、距离、相似预报方法等作了系统介绍、并给出了各种非线'N}统计预报模型在气象预报中的具体应用实例索引.
关键词: 非线性, 统计方法, 预报模型
CLC Number:
P456.8
YAN Hua-Sheng, CAO Jie, XIE Ying-Ji. The Evolution of Non-linear Statistical Forecast Methods[J]. J4, 2005, 23(1): 72-77.
严华生, 曹杰, 谢应齐. 非线性统计预报方法研究进展[J]. J4, 2005, 23(1): 72-77.
0 / Recommend
Add to citation manager EndNote|Ris|BibTeX
URL: http://www.ghqx.org.cn/EN/
http://www.ghqx.org.cn/EN/Y2005/V23/I1/72