干旱气象

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近30 a山东首场暴雨的气候特征及环流形势

  

  1. 1.山东省气象台,山东 济南 250031;2.山东省气象信息中心,山东 济南 250031
  • 出版日期:2015-12-31 发布日期:2015-12-31
  • 作者简介:康桂红(1967- ),女,高级工程师,主要从事天气预报技术和方法研究. E-mail:kgh0309@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    山东省气象局重点课题(2012sdqxz03,2013sdqxt13)资助

Climatic Characteristics and Circulation Situation of the First Rainstorm in Shandong Province During 1985-2014

  1. 1.Shandong Provincial Meteorological Observatory, Ji’nan 250031, China;
    2.Shandong Provincial Meteorological Information Center, Ji’nan 250031, China
  • Online:2015-12-31 Published:2015-12-31

摘要:

利用1985~2014年山东122个国家气象观测站降水资料及1999~2014年天气图资料,统计分析近30 a山东首场暴雨的气候特征,归纳分析了山东首场暴雨的影响系统及环流形势。结果表明:山东首场暴雨多发生在4~5月,以局地暴雨为主,大范围暴雨次之。降水具有明显的日变化特征,夜间和清晨大、白天小。鲁西南和半岛地区是首场暴雨的易发区,但2区域的暴雨分布特征截然不同:首场暴雨在半岛地区出现频次较高,但最大日雨量和小时雨量并不大;鲁西南地区出现频次高,且最大日雨量和小时雨量也大。山东首场暴雨的影响系统有温带气旋和低涡切变线2类。温带气旋影响下以局地暴雨和大范围暴雨为主,低涡切变线影响下以区域暴雨为主。其中,半岛和鲁南地区较易受江淮气旋影响产生暴雨,鲁西北和鲁中地区则受低涡切变线影响较多。地面气旋位置是预报气旋类暴雨落区的重要指标,暴雨多出现在地面气旋倒槽顶端;850 hPa形势场是预报低涡切变线类暴雨落区的重要指标,暴雨多出现在850 hPa低涡切变线与地面倒槽顶端东南气流(暖区)中。气旋影响下的首场暴雨,其动力和水汽条件占主导,而低涡切变线影响下的热力条件是导致暴雨的主要因素。西南暖湿气流带来的充足水汽是首场暴雨发生的必要条件,冷空气侵入或冷暖空气交汇是暴雨形成的重要原因。

关键词: 首场暴雨, 气候特征, 影响系统, 环流形势

Abstract:

Based on the hourly and daily precipitation data of 122 weather stations in Shandong Province during 1985-2014, the climatic characteristics of the first rainstorm were analyzed. Combined the synoptic charts from Micaps system during 1999-2014, the influence systems and circulation situations of the first rainstorm in Shandong were summarized and analyzed. The results showed that the first rainstorm usually occurred from April to May in Shandong Province, and the local rainstorm dominated, followed by large-scale rainstorm. The daily variation of the first rainstorm was significant, and the rainfall was strong at night and in the early morning, while that was weak in the daytime. The first rainstorms frequently occurred in Peninsula and the southwest of Shandong, but the distribution characteristics in two areas were different. The frequency of the first rainstorm was higher in the Peninsula area and the daily and hourly maximum precipitation was less, while that was highest in southwestern Shandong and the daily and hourly maximum precipitation was also bigger. It is found out that the main synoptic systems influencing the first rainstorm in Shandong included the extratropical cyclone and vortex shear line. The local and large-scale rainstorms frequently caused by the cyclone and most likely happened in Peninsula and the southwest of Shandong, while the regional rainstorms were mainly caused by the vortex shear line and usually happened in northwestern and central Shandong. The locations of ground cyclone and vortex shear line on 850 hPa were very important indicators to forecast the drop area of the first rainstorm. The rainstorms frequently appeared in the north of cyclone trough and the intersection area between the vortex shear line on 850 hPa and the southeast airflow of ground cyclone. The dynamic and water vapor factors of the first rainstorm under the cyclones influence dominated, while the thermal instability was key factor for the vortex shear line influence system. In addition, the sufficient water vapor from the southwest warm and moist airflow, invasion of cold air or convergence with warm air were necessary to produce the first rainstorm.

Key words: the first rainstorm, climatic characteristics, influence system, circulation situation

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