干旱气象 ›› 2015, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (1): 156-161.DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2015)-01-0156

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

2011年盛夏石家庄一次短时暴雨分析

孙 云1刘 伟1李国翠1马贵东2冯 洋1   

  1. 1. 河北省石家庄市气象局, 河北 石家庄 050081;
    2. 河北省宁晋县气象局, 河北 宁晋 055550
  • 出版日期:2015-02-28 发布日期:2015-02-28
  • 作者简介:孙云(1987-),女,工程师,主要从事短期天气预报.E-mail:sunyun288@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    河北省科技计划项目(12237126D-1)、灾害天气国家重点实验室开放课题(2014LASW-B02)、河北省气象局重点项目(14ky04)和河北省气象局预报员专项(14ky36)共同资助

Case Study of a Torrential Rain in Midsummer of 2011 in Shijiazhuang

SUN Yun1LIU Wei1LI Guocui1MA Guidong2FENG Yang1   

  1. 1. Shijiazhuang Meteorological Burea of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050081, China;
    2. Ningjin Meteorological Burea of Hebei Province,Ningjin 055550, China
  • Online:2015-02-28 Published:2015-02-28

摘要:

2011年7月26日石家庄市出现一次暴雨冰雹天气,其特点是500 hPa及以上高空强冷空气导致高空形势在12 h内发生剧变,短波槽快速南下,致使探空观测和数值预报失灵。本文对其他监测资料进行分析,发现这种剧烈变化的天气有明显特征:卫星云图上河套北部逗点云系尾长而粗壮,有向南发展趋势,云系后部的暗区表明干冷空气侵入,与低层暖湿空气形成对流云,尾部断裂表明冷空气加速南下。单站要素变化显示,石家庄地面假相当位温比正常值高了8 ℃,出现异常不稳定能量。强对流天气发生在假相当位温密集带内,能量中心假相当位温最高达到90 ℃以上,100  km内假相当位温温差超过25 ℃,最大降雨出现在假相当位温密集带内雷达回波呈西南—东北带状排列,前部最大强度为65 dBZ,强回波前形成阵风锋,正负最大速度均超过20 m/s,飑线自西向东移动,它的移向和发展程度决定降雨和冰雹的路径和强度。石家庄市区风向转变和形成地面辐合线分别较降水起始时间提前21 min和30 min。

关键词: 短时暴雨, 能量锋区, 短时预报, 地面辐合线

Abstract:

A torrential rain and hail stroke Shijiazhuang on July 26,2011. The strong and cold air flow on 500 hPa and above resulted in sharp shifts of synoptic situation at high altitude in twelve hours,with short wave trough moving southward rapidly,which caused the failure of radiosonde observation and numerical forecast. Based on other monitoring data,obvious characteristics of the dramatic changing weather were analyzed. Firstly,according to satellite images,the comma cloud above the Great Bend of the Huanghe River had long and stout tail,with a tendency of developing southward. The dark area at the rear part of clouds indicated the intrusion of dry cold air,which developed into convective clouds with warm and moist air at low altitude. The tail fracture suggested the acceleration of moving southward of cold air. Secondly,the Shijiazhuang single station element variation showed that the surface potential pseudo equivalent temperature was 8 ℃ higher than the normal value,which indicated abnormal instability energy. Strong convective weather with the largest precipitation was located in the intensive zone of pseudo equivalent potential temperature,which reached 90 ℃ at the energy center. The difference of pseudo equivalent potential temperature within 100 km was more than 25 ℃. Finally,the radar echoes arranged zonally from the southwest to the northeast with the strongest echo of 65 dBZ in the front. Gust front formed before the strongecho,its maximum positive and negative speed were both larger than 20 m/ s. The squall line moved from west to east and its path and intensity ditermined the path and intensity of precipitation and hail. The transformation of wind direction and formation of surface convergence line were 21 min and 30 min ahead of the precipitation,respectively.

Key words:
torrential rain,
energy frontal zone, nowcasting, surface convergence line

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