干旱气象

• 业务技术应用 • 上一篇    下一篇

4 种干旱指标在甘肃平凉地区的业务适应性分析

杨小利王丽娜   

  1. 甘肃省平凉市气象局,甘肃 平凉 744000
  • 收稿日期:2012-11-20 出版日期:2013-07-10 发布日期:2013-02-20
  • 作者简介:杨小利(1967 - ),女,陕西凤翔人,高级工程师,硕士,主要从事应用气象及干旱气候变化与干旱监测研究. E - mail:plyxl1@126. com
  • 基金资助:

    国家科技部公益行业(气象)科研专项“多时间尺度干旱监测与预警、评估技术研究”(GYHY201006023)资助
     

Analysis of Operation Adaptability of Four Drought Indices in Pingliang of Gansu Province

YANG Xiaoli,WANG Lina   

  1. Pingliang Meteorological Bureau of Gansu Province,Pingliang 744000,China
  • Received:2012-11-20 Online:2013-07-10 Published:2013-02-20

摘要:

利用平凉市7 个气象站1965 ~ 2010 年逐日、逐月的气温、降水、蒸发等资料,分别采用K 指数、PDSI、CI 指数、Z 指数等4 种干旱指标计算了各站近46 a 逐月的干旱指数,分析比较了这4 种干旱指标在干旱变化、干旱程度和范围等方面的应用情况,结果表明:K 指数、CI 指数和Z 指数在多数情况下与降水对应关系密切,而PDSI 对降水变化的反映并不十分灵敏;各种干旱指标都能反映出区域内干旱的发生,但反映的程度和范围不同,无论在重旱年份或一般年K 指数计算的干旱程度和范围明显要大于其他3 种指数,Z 指数则明显偏轻,PDSI 和CI 指数介于二者之间;重旱年份K 指数对干旱程度及范围的反映更为接近实际情况,Z 指数最差;一般年份,PDSI、Z 指数和CI 指数更具有优势,但CI 指数在冬季的适用性较差。干旱是一个复杂的累积过程,在业务应用中要综合考虑前期水分情况及旱情发生发展的各类影响因素,根据实际情况选择不同的干旱指标。

关键词: 干旱指标, 平凉地区, 适应性

Abstract:

Based on the daily and monthly temperature,precipitation and evaporation data from 7 stations of Pingliang during 1965 -2010,the monthly drought indices of each station in recent 46 years were caculated with K index,PDSI,CI and Z index,respectively,and the application of four indices in drought variation,drought degree and range was analyzed and compared. The results show that K index,CI and Z index has close corresponding relationship with precipitation in most time,while PDSI was insensitive to precipitation variation. Each index could reflect the drought occurrence but with different intensity and extension. The intensity and extension reflected by K index was more serious than the other three indices in drought years or ordinary years,while that reflected by Z index was obviously smaller,and PDSI and CI was between K index and Z index. K index was closer to actual drought situation in serious drought years,but the adaptability of Z index was the worst. In ordinary years,PDSI,Z index and CI were more suitable,but the adaptability of CI was worst in winter. Drought is a complex cumulative process,so suitable drought indices should be selected considering moisture conditions in prophase and various factors which influence the occurrence and development of drought.

Key words: drought indices, Pingliang , adaptability, analysis

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