In the spring of 2023, a severe meteorological drought occurred in southwestern China, which had a serious impact on the local social economy. In order to deeply understand the causes of this drought event and further provide a basis for the prediction technology of spring drought in southwestern China, causes of the spring drought event were analyzed from the perspective of SST (sea surface temperature) and MJO (Madden-Julian Oscillation) by using station-observed data, NCEP/NCAR (National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research) reanalysis data, NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) SST and other data, choosing T-N wave activity flux, composite analysis and other methods. The results showed that: (1) The spring drought over southwestern China in 2023 was a compound dought-heatwave event occurred in the middle in March, developed and expanded westward in April, and maintained in May. (2) In March, the horseshoe-shaped SST anomalies in the North Pacific caused the westerly jet stream to drift southward and westward, suppressing the precipitation in southwestern China. (3) In April, the anticyclonic circulation anomaly near the Bay of Bengal induced by warm SST in the Indian Ocean through Kelvin wave and the cyclonic circulation anomaly from the South China Sea to the Philippines triggered by warm SST in the Northwest Pacific through Rossby wave resulted in northerly winds in the south of southwestern China, which caused the divergence of water vapor and the development of drought in southwestern China. (4) MJO, which maintained in the western Pacific for a long time in May, stimulated the cyclonic anomaly from the South China Sea to the Philippines in lower troposphere due to Gill response, reduced the transport of southerly water vapor, and maintained drought in southwestern China.
From January to June 2023, meteorological droughts of varying degrees occurred in southwestern China, eastern North China, northern East China, central southern China, southern South China, and central Northeast China, seriously affecting agricultural production and restricting local economic development. To improve the ability to respond to drought disasters, timely carry out disaster prevention and reduction work, and conduct real-time summaries of drought situations. This article uses K index, MCI index, T-N flux and CABLE land surface model, as well as meteorological observation data, reanalysis data, soil moisture data to comprehensively analyze the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and causes of regional drought events. The results are as follows: (1) In the first half of 2023, severe regional drought occurred in southwestern China and eastern Inner Mongolia. The southwestern region experienced a transition from sustained to sudden drought, while Inner Mongolia continued to experience drought. (2) During the same period, the 500 hPa geopotential height field showed a two trough and two ridge pattern at mid to high latitudes. The western Pacific subtropical high pressure abnormally extended westward and uplifted northward, and the Rossby waves at mid latitudes in Eurasia were abnormally weak, resulting in a weakening of the influence of flat westerly winds and cold air in mid to high latitudes, resulting in less precipitation in the southwest and eastern Inner Mongolia, leading to regional drought. (3) In the first half of 2023, the winter La Niña event shifted to the spring El Niño event, resulting in weak convective activity in the southwest region and triggering sustained hot and dry weather; The distribution of sea surface temperature sensitive areas in Inner Mongolia has led to the stability of its upstream high-pressure ridge, resulting in drought and limited rainfall in the eastern region of Inner Mongolia.