The changes of low-level wind field play an important role in the formation of sudden precipitation, which can change the flow field structure in the lower atmosphere, thereby affect the stability and vertical movement of the lower atmosphere and promote the development of convective clouds. Based on wind profile radar data at Chang’an Station, observation data, the fifth generation atmospheric reanalysis data released by the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, and Doppler radar data, this study analyzed the evolution characteristics of the low-level wind field during three typical sudden precipitation events under the control of the subtropical high at the northern foothills of the Qinling Mountains in midsummer. These events occurred on August 6, 2023, from 11:00 to 12:00 (referred to as “Process I”), July 13, 2023, from 00:00 to 01:00 (referred to as “Process II”), and August 3, 2022, from 18:00 to 19:00 (referred to as “Process III”). The results show that all three events occurred under the circulation background of the subtropical high combined with the intrusion of cold air at low level, exhibiting strong suddenness. For Process I and Process II, the intrusion of cold air at low level was characterized by westerly winds, while for Process III, it was characterized by easterly winds. Before the precipitation, the atmosphere over the Chang’an region was in a significantly unstable state, with weak vertical wind shear in the middle troposphere, which was the main reason for the highly localized nature of these three precipitation events. In midsummer, the multi-year average low-level wind speed at Chang’an Station generally exhibited a single-peak pattern, the wind speed initially increased with height and then decreased. The average wind speed below an altitude of 1 000 meters did not exceed 3.14 m·s?1, and the hourly wind speed shows distinct diurnal variation characteristics. The low-level wind direction displayed a counterclockwise rotation with increasing height, shifting gradually from southwesterly to southeasterly winds.The 4-6 h before the occurrence of three sudden precipitation processes, there was a cold air intrusion process in the low-level over Chang’an, and the wind speed was significantly bigger than the multi-year average. With the continuous invasion of low-level cold air, the 2 m temperature decreased rapidly, the air pressure rose, convection was triggered, and heavy precipitation occurred. The continuous intrusion of low-level cold air could generate strong mesoscale frontogenesis in the lower atmosphere, providing energy and triggering conditions for sudden precipitation. On the other hand, due to the obstruction of the local terrain at the northern foot of the Qinling Mountains and the Guanzhong Basin, the low-level cold air was forced to rise, promoting an increase in precipitation.
Heavy rainfalls and floods, waterlogging triggered by rainstorms are one of the most serious natural disasters in Ningxia. This paper constructs an integrated rainstorm hazard risk warning model in Ningxia to effectively predict the risk of heavy rainfall and issue risk warnings in advance, by using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Delphi method, and considering four factors including hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and disaster mitigation capacity, the model incorporates 14 evaluation indicators such as population, economy, elevation, and vegetation etc. in Ningxia. Combined with GIS technology, a rainstorm event simulation was conducted. The results show that the model comprehensively and objectively reflected integrated risk distribution during rainstorms. The analysis of the rainstorm on July 10, 2022 indicated that the regions with the highest hazard were Jinfeng District and Xixia District of Yinchuan, Litong District of Wuzhong, Qingtongxia County, eastern Yanchi County, and Yuanzhou District of Guyuan; the highest exposure was in Yinchuan; the highest vulnerability was in western Qingtongxia, Tongxin County, Haiyuan County, Xiji County, and Pengyang County; the weakest disaster mitigation capacity was in Haiyuan County, and the highest integrated risk areas were Jinfeng District of Yinchuan, Litong District of Wuzhong, Haiyuan and Xiji County. Integrating the model with smart grid forecasting, the integrated rainstorm hazard risk can be calculated, which provides scientific basis for precise prevention in practical operations.
Examine the relationship between tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) and precipitation in China has scientific significance for improving China's climate prediction level. Based on the long-term monthly rain gauge data of 160 stations in China and the monthly SST index from Climate Prediction Center (CPC), USA, this paper explores the response characteristics of precipitation in China to tropical Pacific SST changes through a new method of lag cumulative correlation. The results are as follows: (1) This method is able to reveal the cumulative effect of previous abnormal SST on the precipitation effectively, so as to provide a basis for selecting the optimal predictive factors. (2) Among Ni?o1+2, Ni?o3, Ni?o4, and Ni?o3.4 SST indices, previous Nino1+2 index has the most significant relationship with China’s precipitation. More precisely, the positive correlation between Ni?o1+2 timeseries and the 4-month lagged precipitation, and the negative link between 2-month cumulative Ni?o1+2 time series and the the 9-month lagged precipitation in China are most significant. (3) The Ni?o1+2 SST can distinctly influence the precipitation in China's monsoon regions, with the strongest positive feedback are as primarily locate in the eastern part of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and Yunnan Province. (4) The linear fitting between the Ni?o1+2 time series and the average precipitation of China with a lag of 4 months shows that the fluctuation trend of fitted precipitation is consistent with that of the rain gauge data, with relative small fitting errors in winter and spring and larger errors in summer and autumn.
The surface temperature is much different at different positions of sand dune or even same position but at different time or different weather condition The temperature features are discussed based on observations at different position of sand dune on clear or sand-dust day, bare land or different vegetation cover. The daily maximum surface temperature appears on the coping of the sand dune, the minimum temperature and the greatest diurnal temperature range appear on the windward slop.The coping and windward slop of sand dune have the greatest diurnal temperature range, but the leeward slop is contrary.The daily variation of surface temperature is larger on clear day than that under dust weather condition on the coping, windward slop, leeward slop and at the left wing. The time of the maximum and minimum temperature at 20 cm depth of the windward slop and the leeward slop is contrary to that of the surface temperature under clear or dust weather condition. From 0 to 20 cm depth of the windward and leeward slop, the diurnal temperature range is gradually decreasing, the time of the maximum and minimum temperature is different on clear day and dust weather, and the daytime temperature difference is large on clear day or dust weather condition.The surface temperature of vegetation cover and bare land have biggish variation. The daily variation is larger in sunniness cover than that of shade cover of vegetation.
Based on the conventional observation data, the ground - based 12 - channel radiometer and wind p rofile radar data from October 25 to 27 2007, the fogweather event occurred in Beijingwas analyzed. The results are as follows: (1) The fog event occurred under the large - scale weather background, and the upper, low and surface weather situation were helpful to the fog’s forming and lasting; (2) With the radiometer retrieved p roduction, the upper, low and surface humidity scheme and the fog lastingmechanism could be found very clearly; (3) The surface temperature, the inversion layer thickness and its biggest intensity variation under 2 000 meters were concerned nearly with the fog change and visibility. The fog beginningwas consistentwith the biggest range of the surface temperature dropp ing, and there was the temperature inversion especially grounding inversion during the fog period. The surface relative humidity was above 83% , and 90% for thick fog, 97% for strong fog. There wasn’t some liquid water in the beginning of the fog, but after one hour the liquid water appeared at the level of 100 meters, and itwas biggest at this level before the weather system coming;(4) The horizontalwind speed was smaller under the level of 600 or 700 meters, and near the level of 600 meters the wind shearwas obvious during the fog period; (5) It kep t the feeble up and down airflow in the boundary layer during the fog period.
A 2 day’、continuous severe thunderstorm occurred in most areas of Ningxia on June 14th and 15th, 2004, part of the ye110W RlVer 1TTlgatlOn TeglOn haS heen StrLICl} by hall. By LISlng the TOlltlne meteOTOlOg1Ca1 data and dOppleT radar pT0(1LICtS and SO On,a meteorological analysis of this process has been done, the analysis shows that: this is a typical continuous severe thunderstorm pro-CCSS In N1ngXla Wh1Ch TCSlllted fTOm the TOtatlOnal eaStWa.T(1S and SOLIthWa.T(1S MOngOha Cold VOrteX. Frnm the radar eC110 dlffeTenCe he-tWCen general thLIndeTStOTm and SCVCTe thLIndeTStOTm Wlth hall, the mOnltOTlng and fOTCCa.Stlng 1ndeX Of N1ngXla SCVCTe COriVCCtlOn weather has been gained with statistics. By using the forecasting products of Ningxia meso一、tale model MMS, a simulative analysis has been done on it's related physical quantities, which has gained a valuable results.