Typhoon Doksuri (No.2305) caused an extremely rare torrential rainfall over Putian City, Fujian Province. Based on multi-source observational data, including surface meteorological observational data of Fujian Province, radar and satellite data, as well as reanalysis data from ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), the stages and intensity characteristics of the extreme rainfall induced by Typhoon Doksuri were analyzed. The main conclusions are as follows: The entire rainfall process was consisted of three seamlessly-linked stages. The first stage was the typhoon eyewall rainstorm, which had the characteristics of intense short-term rainfall and uniform spatial distribution. The second stage was the spiral rainband rainstorm, which was characterized by significant differences in hourly rainfall intensity and distinct rain peaks. The third stage was the monsoon-enhanced rainstorm, with the characteristics of a wide range of heavy rain and a long duration. The heavy rain in Putian caused by Typhoon Doksuri exhibits remarkable extremeness, with specific manifestations as follows: extremely intense heavy rainfall, a wide impact range of extremely heavy rainfall, large cumulative rainfall, high frequency of short-term heavy precipitation, and long duration. Among these, the 24-hour rainfall at Putian Station reached 561.7 mm, breaking the historical record of Fujian Province, and its extreme characteristics are particularly prominent. The continuous maintenance of typhoon warm shear line, low-level southerly jet and monsoon system is an important weather background for the three stages of rainstorm to achieve “seamless connection”. The uplift and contraction of the southerly jet caused by the terrain of Xinghua Plain “surrounded by mountains on three sides and opening to the south” is an important factor for the rainstorm center to be located in the Xinghua Plain to the northeast mountainous area.
Examine the relationship between tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) and precipitation in China has scientific significance for improving China's climate prediction level. Based on the long-term monthly rain gauge data of 160 stations in China and the monthly SST index from Climate Prediction Center (CPC), USA, this paper explores the response characteristics of precipitation in China to tropical Pacific SST changes through a new method of lag cumulative correlation. The results are as follows: (1) This method is able to reveal the cumulative effect of previous abnormal SST on the precipitation effectively, so as to provide a basis for selecting the optimal predictive factors. (2) Among Ni?o1+2, Ni?o3, Ni?o4, and Ni?o3.4 SST indices, previous Nino1+2 index has the most significant relationship with China’s precipitation. More precisely, the positive correlation between Ni?o1+2 timeseries and the 4-month lagged precipitation, and the negative link between 2-month cumulative Ni?o1+2 time series and the the 9-month lagged precipitation in China are most significant. (3) The Ni?o1+2 SST can distinctly influence the precipitation in China's monsoon regions, with the strongest positive feedback are as primarily locate in the eastern part of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and Yunnan Province. (4) The linear fitting between the Ni?o1+2 time series and the average precipitation of China with a lag of 4 months shows that the fluctuation trend of fitted precipitation is consistent with that of the rain gauge data, with relative small fitting errors in winter and spring and larger errors in summer and autumn.
Drought is one of the most important meteorological disasters affecting vegetation in karst areas of Guangxi, and a reasonable remote sensing vegetation parameter can address the impact of drought on vegetation more objectively. To quantify the response of vegetation to drought, fractional vegetation cover (FVC) and net primary productivity (NPP) were selected to analyze the responses to standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) under different topography conditions and forest species. The results are as follows: (1) The responses of FVC and NPP to SPEI were significantly different in karst areas of Guangxi. The response of FVC and NPP to SPEI showed the highest consistency in spring, followed by summer and then autumn. (2) The difference of the response of different forest species to SPEI was small on an annual scale, but was large on a seasonal scale. At annual time scale, the response sensitivity for FVC to SPEI from large to small was economic forest, eucalyptus forest, pine forest, broad-leaved forest, Chinese fir forest, shrub forest, bamboo forest, and for NPP was economic forest, pine forest, eucalyptus forest, broad-leaved forest, Chinese fir forest, shrub forest, bamboo forest. The economic forest was most sensitive to SPEI and the bamboo forest was least. At the seasonal time scale, the sensitivity of FVC and NPP of eucalyptus forest in summer and broad-leaved forest in autumn to SPEI was lowest, and that of eucalyptus forest was highest in winter. (3) The response of vegetation under different terrain conditions to SPEI was also different, but it was smaller than that of different forest species. At annual time scale, the sensitivity of FVC to SPEI from large to small was plain, mountain region, alpine, and for NPP was plain, alpine, mountain region. The response sensitivity to SPEI was highest in the plain area for both FVC and NPP. At seasonal time scale, the response sensitivity of FVC and NPP to SPEI in different terrain conditions was only different in summer and winter. For FVC, its response to SPEI in summer was greater in plain than in mountain region and in winter was greater in plain than in alpine, and for NPP was opposite.
The multi-factor integrated correlation probability method and the multi-parameter dot pitch line method are used to analyze 160 hailstorm cases occurred in the plain region of Ningxia in flood season from 2003 to 2008. The quantitative comprehensive forecast index of severe convection weather in the plain region of Ningxia discriminated by Doppler Radar was found. The result shows that the success rate of identification of hail, heavy rain and other severe convective weather could reach to 87.1% while the comprehensive forecast index reaches 2.8
Using the new generation weather radar(CINRAD) data including echo intensity, velocity, composite reflectivity, hail index profile, storm tracing information, VIL and meso-cyclone 12 severe cnnvective weather events nccnrred in 2003 and 2004 in Ningxia were studied. According to image characteristics, radial velocity products were classified as 3 types, and were analyzed respectively form meso-scale SynOptlC pTlnClple. RPSL11tS S110W that the pTOdL1CtS Of CINRAD are L1Sefl11 t0 fnreeaSt SPVPTe COriVPCt1Ve eVentS,eSpeC1811y hall. 1VIeanWhlle, the COmpaTlSOn analySlS WaS g1Ven 8150 hetWPen CINRAD and TOlltlne Weather radar In th1S paper.
A 2 day’、continuous severe thunderstorm occurred in most areas of Ningxia on June 14th and 15th, 2004, part of the ye110W RlVer 1TTlgatlOn TeglOn haS heen StrLICl} by hall. By LISlng the TOlltlne meteOTOlOg1Ca1 data and dOppleT radar pT0(1LICtS and SO On,a meteorological analysis of this process has been done, the analysis shows that: this is a typical continuous severe thunderstorm pro-CCSS In N1ngXla Wh1Ch TCSlllted fTOm the TOtatlOnal eaStWa.T(1S and SOLIthWa.T(1S MOngOha Cold VOrteX. Frnm the radar eC110 dlffeTenCe he-tWCen general thLIndeTStOTm and SCVCTe thLIndeTStOTm Wlth hall, the mOnltOTlng and fOTCCa.Stlng 1ndeX Of N1ngXla SCVCTe COriVCCtlOn weather has been gained with statistics. By using the forecasting products of Ningxia meso一、tale model MMS, a simulative analysis has been done on it's related physical quantities, which has gained a valuable results.