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Characteristics of tropical isolated convective clouds in Hainan Island
XING Fenghua, HUANG Yanbin, LI Chunluan, HUANG Feiting, LI Guangwei, AO Jie
Journal of Arid Meteorology    2023, 41 (3): 442-449.   DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2023)-03-0442
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Isolated convective cloud system is one of the important convective cloud forms in Hainan Island, it’s significant to study the evolution characteristics for identifying, tracking convective clouds and improving the efficiency of weather modification. Based on the S-band dual-polarization Doppler weather radar (CINRAD/SA-D) data of Hainan Island from 2015 to 2020, the dual-polarization characteristic of typical isolated convective clouds case and the evolution of isolated convective clouds over the island are analyzed. The results show that the radar data of the typical case of isolated convective clouds in Hainan Island (July 26, 2020) present obvious differential reflectivity (ZDR) and specific differential phase shift (KDP) column phenomena during the development phase, which means the convective motion in the clouds was strong. The total number of isolated convective clouds case in Hainan Island from 2015 to 2020 is 495 times, accounting for 11.82% of the total convective cloud cases (4 017 times). The southwest low pressure trough, the warming high pressure ridge and the southward cold front are three weather systems triggering isolated convective clouds easily. The isolated convective clouds from March to June are more, accounting for 76.84% of the total cases. It is significantly higher than that of other months. March is a high-incidence month for isolated convective clouds, in which isolated convective clouds account for 47.78% of the total cases. In one day, the period from 14:00 to 17:00 is the period of high occurrence of isolated convective clouds in Hainan Island, accounting for 72.84% of the total cases (475 times). The frequency of isolated convective clouds in southwestern and central mountainous areas in Hainan Island is higher, accounting for about 88.84% of the total cases (475 times). The movement direction of isolated convective clouds is mainly northeast and southeast, which is mainly affected by westerly and southerly winds. In addition, the movement speed of isolated convective clouds is mainly concentrated between 6 and 20 km·h-1 and the movement distance of isolated convective clouds is mainly distributed between 6 and 20 km. More than half of isolated convective clouds in movement distance are less than 20 km.

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Construction of weighted mean temperature model in retrieval of atmospheric precipitable water from GPS in Haikou and its application
LI Guangwei, HUANG Guangrui, XING Fenghua, AO Jie
Journal of Arid Meteorology    2022, 40 (6): 1081-1091.   DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2022)-06-1081
Abstract395)   HTML0)    PDF(pc) (8594KB)(1559)       Save

Weighted mean temperature (Tm) is a key parameter in the retrieval of atmospheric precipitable water (PW) from ground-based Global Positioning System (GPS). In order to improve the accuracy and reliability of the retrieval of PW in Hainan Island, temporal variation characteristics of Tm calculated based on Haikou radiosonde data during 2008-2010 and the relation with meteorological factors at Haikou station are analyzed. On this basis, based on radiosonde and surface observation data during 2008-2012, single-factor and multi-factor Tm regression equations and Tm regression models with day of year factor are established at Haikou, and the models are validated by using radiosonde and surface observation data during 2013-2014. Based on the local Tm regression models, the ground-based GPS PW retrieval of Haikou is performed from May to October 2012, and the retrieval accuracy is verified. The results show that: by comparison of the true Tm, the RMSE of single-factor and two-factor local Tm models are 2.000 and 1.978 K, superior to Bevis and constant model. The local model of Tm has good consistency with Tm calculated by radiosonde data. The GPS PW from single-factor Tm model exhibits much stronger correlations with radiosonde PW than GPS PW based on Bevis model, and the RMSE of GPS PW by single-factor Tm model is lower than that based on Bevis model. Compared with the multi-factor linear Tm model, GPS PW based on the Tm model with day of year factor has significantly improved accuracy. The local models could meet the accuracy requirements of the PW from ground-based GPS data of Haikou.

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Study of Local Heavy Rain Initiated by Gravity Waves in Shijiazhuang of Hebei Province
MENG Kai,ZHANG Yingxin,YAO Jie,TIAN Zhiguang
Journal of Arid Meteorology    2015, 33 (1): 144-148.   DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2015)-01-0144
Abstract1382)      PDF(pc) (7525KB)(2853)       Save

This paper dynamically discussed the development mechanisms of local rainstorm triggered by gravity waves,and proposed a feasible method,which was verified by a case study,to forecast the propagations of gravity waves. The results showed that:( 1) the propagation of gravity waves strictly consistent with the potential temperature ridge,and by analyzing the isentrope,the forecasting of the generation and evolution of gravity waves would be more effective; ( 2) the waves could travel from higher potential temperature to lower side,or propagate in reverse orientation; ( 3) there were corresponding relations between the propagation path of gravity waves and the surface convergence line. Though the waves propagated along with the convergence line,it did not generate the gravity waves;
( 4) in a case of rainstorm on 9th August 2011 in Shijiazhuang,the gust front generated the gravity waves as a triggering mechanism, and brought about strong rainfall in the west urban.

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The Evolution of Non-linear Statistical Forecast Methods
YAN Hua-Sheng, CAO Jie, XIE Ying-Ji
J4    2005, 23 (1): 72-77.  
Abstract1383)      PDF(pc) (287KB)(2793)       Save

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