Impact of Annua l Prec ip ita tion and Ra iny Days with D ifferen t Grades Var ia tion on DroughtD isa ster in Shandong Prov ince

J4 ›› 2010, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (1): 35-40.

Previous Articles Next Articles

Impact of Annua l Prec ip ita tion and Ra iny Days with D ifferen t Grades Var ia tion on DroughtD isa ster in Shandong Prov ince

YU Wen-Hua¹, ZHANG Yu-Ji², SUN Mao-Pu¹, WANG 　Yu¹

1. Zaozhuang M eteorological B ureau of Shandong Province, Zaozhuang 277800, China;2. A tm ospheric Observation Technology Support Center of Shandong ProvincialM eteorological B ureau, J i’nan 250031, China

Received:2009-11-02 Revised:2009-11-18 Online:2010-04-01 Published:2010-04-01

山东省降水量与不同强度降水日数变化对干旱的影响

苑文华^１，张玉洁^２，孙茂璞^１，王　瑜^１

１．山东省枣庄市气象局，山东　枣庄　277800；２．山东省大气探测技术保障中心，山东　济南　250031

作者简介:苑文华（１９７３－），女，山东阳谷人，工程师，长期从事中短期预报工作和气候变化研究．Ｅ－ｍａｉｌ：ｙｗｈｗｊｇ＠１６３．ｃｏｍ

Abstract

Abstract:

Based on daily p recip itation data from 82 meteorological stations in Shandong Province from 1961 to 2004, the annual p recipitation and rainy dayswith different gradeswere calculated. The long - term variation and abrup t change characteristic of annual p recipitation and rainy dayswith different gradeswere analyzed by using accumulative anomaly and T - test, and the response of drought disaster to variation of p recip itation and rainy dayswere analyzed also. The results are as follows: The abrup t change of annual p recip itation, rainy days with moderate and above rainfall and drought disaster area occurred in the middle 1970 s, but rainy dayswith little and small rainfall aswell as total rainy days appeared in 1988 under the globalwarming background. After the abrup t change, the years appeared frequently with anomaly decrease of annual rainfall and rainy days, while the strong rainy days increased obviously. Precip itation and rainy dayswith different grades have a much closer negative correlation with drought disaster area. Abnormal decreases of annual precip itation and rainy days enlarged the drought area in Shandong Province.

Key words: rainy days with different grades, p recip itation, drought disaster area, Shandong Province

摘要：

采用山东省82个地面气象站1961～2004年日降水量，统计了历年的降水量、不同强度降水日数；利用累积距平及ｔ检验法分析了干旱受灾面积、降水量和不同强度降水日数的长期变化趋势并进行了突变检验，相关分析方法研究了干旱气象灾害对降水量和不同强度降水日数变化的响应。结果表明：干旱受灾面积、年降水量及中等强度以上降水日数的转折年大都出现在1976年，微量降水日数0.1～4.9／ｄ降水日数及总雨日数的转折年出现在1988年全球气候变暖背景下，转折年后年降水量及不同强度的雨日数异常偏少年份频繁出现；干旱受灾面积与降水量和不同强度降水日数呈显著的负相关，降水量或不同强度的降水日数异常偏少都将导致干旱的发生。20世纪70年代中期以后随着全球气候变暖，降水量和5.0～99.9／ｄ以上降水日数异常偏少年份增多是极端干旱气候事件频繁发生、干旱面积扩大的最主要原因。

关键词: 不同强度降水日数, 降水量, 干旱受灾面积, 山东省

CLC Number:

P468.0⁺24

YU Wen-Hua, ZHANG Yu-Ji, SUN Mao-Pu, WANG 　Yu. Impact of Annua l Prec ip ita tion and Ra iny Days with D ifferen t Grades Var ia tion on DroughtD isa ster in Shandong Prov ince[J]. J4, 2010, 28(1): 35-40.

苑文华, 张玉洁, 孙茂璞, 王　瑜. 山东省降水量与不同强度降水日数变化对干旱的影响[J]. J4, 2010, 28(1): 35-40.

References

［１］李维京，赵振国，李想，等．中国北方干旱的气候特征及其成因的
初步研究［Ｊ］．干旱气象，２００３，２１（４）：１－５．
［２］杨绚，李栋梁．中国干旱气候分区及其降水量变化特征［Ｊ］．干
旱气象，２００８，２６（２）：１７－２４．
［３］蒋红花．山东省干旱灾害的变化特征及相关分析［Ｊ］．灾害学，
２０００，１５（３）：５１－５５．
［４］薛德强，王建国．山东省的干旱化特征分析［Ｊ］．自然灾害学报，
２００７，１６（３）：６０－６５．
［５］杨志刚．山东省干旱演变规律及其影响［Ｊ］．气象，１９９６，２２（５）：
２５－２９．
［６］孙安健．华北平原地区夏季严重旱涝特征诊断分析［Ｊ］．大气科
学，２０００，２４（３）：３９３－４０２．
［７］魏凤英．华北地区干旱强度的表征形式及其气候变异［Ｊ］．自然
灾害学报，２００４，１３（２）：３２－３８．
［８］王庆，龚佃利．山东夏季旱涝指数的振荡特征［Ｊ］．中国海洋大
学学报，２００４，３４（２）：１７３－１８１．
［９］刘德祥，白虎志．甘肃不同强度降水日数变化对干旱灾害的影响
［Ｊ］．干旱地区农业研究，２００７，２５（２）：２１２－２１７．
［１０］杨金虎，杨启国．中国西北夏季干旱指数研究［Ｊ］．资源科学，
２００６，２８（３）：１７－２２．
［１１］胡桂芳，奚秀芬．山东夏季降水量场预测模型研究及预测试验
［Ｊ］．气象，１９９６，２８（１２）：１５－２０．
［１２］杨成芳，薛德强．山东省近５３１年旱涝变化气候诊断分析［Ｊ］．
山东气象，２００３，２３（４）：５－９．

[1]	JIAO Yang, ZHANG Yongjing, YIN Chengmei, CHU Yingjia. Response of summer rainstorm in Shandong Province to change of spring atmospheric heat sources in southeastern Tibet Plateau and its adjacent areas [J]. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2022, 40(3): 406-414.
[2]	SHANG Lin, GU Weizong, TANG Zidong, MENG Xiangxin, LUO Jiali, CUI Qiang. Decadal Variation of the Relationship Between Summer Precipitation in Shandong Province and Previous Winter SST over the Equatorial Central and Eastern Pacific [J]. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2017, 35(4): 552-558.
[3]	LI Ruiying1, REN Chongyong1, CHEN Nan1, JIANG Xiaodong2. Simulation of Spring Phenophase of Typical Plants in Southwestern Shandong Province [J]. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2015, 33(6): 1010-1016.
[4]	HU Yiqing,ZHAO Haijun, ZHUANG Zhong, GAO Anchun,CAO Zhangchi, ZHANG Pinzhu, LIU Yingjie. Mesoscale Structure and Lightning Features of a Convective Weather Process in Center of Shandong Province [J]. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2015, 33(5): 830-837.
[5]	WAN Mingbo1, DONG Xuguang2. Nonuniformity Characteristics of Precipitation in Shandong Province During 1961-2010 [J]. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2015, 33(4): 566-573.
[6]	. Characteristics and Causes of Continuous Drought from Autumn 2010 to Winter 2011 in Shandong Province [J]. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2012, 30(3): 323-326.
[7]	HAN 　Hui, MENG Li-Xia. Study on the Spa tia l Var ia tion of Annua l Prec ip ita tion Structure over Gan su Prov ince Dur ing Recen t 46 Years [J]. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2010, 28(1): 30-34.
[8]	LIU Gui-Rong, ZHENG Mei-Qin, ZHOU Xiu-Jun, ZHANG Min-Kai, MA Pin-Yi. Applica tion and Compar ison of Two Kinds of Drought Ind ices In Rizhao of Shandong Prov ince [J]. J4, 2010, 28(1): 102-106.
[9]	ZHANG 　Jian, ZHANG Xin-Beng, WANG Xiao-Yun, ZHANG Jian-Meng. Climatic Var ia tion of Precip ita tion in Be ijing, Tian jin and Hebe i in Recen t 47 Years [J]. J4, 2009, 27(1): 23-28.
[10]	CHEN Gan, ZHANG Jiu-Lin, CHEN Tian-Yu. Synoptic Ana lysis of Prec ip ita tion Processes in Summer of 2006 over Qilian Mou ta ins [J]. J4, 2008, 26(4): 22-28.
[11]	JIN 　Hua, MA Xin-Cheng, HUANG Meng-Yu, HE 　Hui, LI Rui-Jie, ZHOU 　Wei. An AircraftObserva tion of a Stra tiform Cloud in Spring 2008 of Beijing [J]. J4, 2008, 26(4): 35-40.
[12]	ZHANG Ai-Yang, GAO 　Xia, LIN Guo-Yu. Character istic of Extreme Prec ip ita tion Even ts Change in Cen tra l North Ch ina in Recen t 45 Years [J]. J4, 2008, 26(4): 46-50.
[13]	BO Yun-Jin, DIAO An-Bang, HAN Chun-Guang. Climatic Characteristic in Xin jiang Shihez i Reg ion in Recent 40 Years [J]. J4, 2008, 26(4): 56-60.
[14]	Chen- Gan, CHEN Tian-Yu, XIAO Hong-Bin. Typical Cases Study of Classified Precipitation Process in Summer over Qilian Mountains [J]. J4, 2008, 26(3): 1-7.
[15]	YANG 　Xuan, LI Dong-Liang. Prec ip ita tionVar ia tion Character istics and Ar id Clima te D iv ision in Ch ina [J]. J4, 2008, 26(2): 17-24.

Impact of Annua l Prec ip ita tion and Ra iny Days with D ifferen t Grades Var ia tion on DroughtD isa ster in Shandong Prov ince

山东省降水量与不同强度降水日数变化对干旱的影响

PDF

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Recommended Articles

Metrics