J4 ›› 2004, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (3): 32-37.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

T213数值预报产品在2003年宁夏首场透雨天气过程中的应用分析

周 虎1,纪晓玲2,丁建军1
  

  1. (1.宁夏气象台,宁夏,银川 750002;2.宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室,宁夏银川 750002)
  • 收稿日期:2004-03-04 修回日期:2004-06-21 出版日期:2004-09-30 发布日期:2004-09-30
  • 作者简介:周虎(1967-),男,工程师,主要从事短期天气预报及相关预报方法研究

The Application of T213Numerical Prediction Product in the Firs Soaking Rain Process Occurring in Ningxia in2003

 ZHOU  Hu1, JI Xiao-Ling2, DING Jian-Jun1   

  1. (1.Ningxia Meteorological Observatory,Yinchuan 750002,China;
    2.Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Preventing and Reducing in Ningxia,Yinchuan 750002,China
  • Received:2004-03-04 Revised:2004-06-21 Online:2004-09-30 Published:2004-09-30

摘要:

2003年5月5~6日,宁夏出现了入春以来第一场透雨天气过程,本文利用常规天气资料和T213数值预报产品,对此次降水天气过程从主要影响系统和T213数值预报有关物理量预报场等方面进行分析发现,T213对我区降水有很好的预报能力和指示意义,并随着预报时效的缩短,其可信度在不断提高。

关键词: 首场透雨, 影响系统, T213数值预报产品

Abstract:

Based on routine weather materials and T213 numerical prediction product , the main influence system and the physic
quantities prediction field related to T213 numerical forecast of the first soaking rain process which occurred on May 5 to 6 in 2003 i
Ningxia were analyzed in this paper. The results show that T213 has excellent prediction ability and direction sense to the precipita
tion in Ningxia, and its credibility is improving constantly with shortening of the forecast prescription.

Key words: the first soaking rain, influence system, T213 numerical prediction product

中图分类号: