关键词: 陇东南地区, 极端低温事件, 气候变化, 环流指数

Abstract: Based on the daily minimum temperature observation data in southeast of Gansu Province during 1969-2018, the variation of extreme low temperature events was analyzed, then 74 circulation characteristic quantities from National Climate Center were used to research the circulation system affecting the extreme low temperature events. The results are as follows: (1) The frequency of annual extreme low temperature events in southeast of Gansu Province reduced obviously with a rate of 2.3 d·(10 a)-1 in the last 50 years, and the reduction was most significant in summer and slowest in winter. There was an abrupt change of extreme low temperature days in 1987, after the abrupt change, the frequency of extreme low temperature events was relatively lower. (2) Compared with the climatic mean, the intensity of extreme low temperature events tended to increase, before 1987, the low temperature intensity anomaly increased with a rate of 0.2 ℃·(10 a)-1, while after 1987, the extrem low temperature intensity anomaly increased with a rate of 1.2 ℃·(10 a)-1. (3) The intensity of extreme low temperature in spring, summer, autumn and winter mainly ranged from -5.0～5.0 ℃, 10.0～15.0 ℃, -5.0～10.0 ℃, -20.0～-10.0 ℃, and the occurrence frequencies were 61.9%, 90.1%, 73.4% and 73.1%, respectively. (4) There was a positive correlation between extreme low temperature events and Eurasian meridional circulation in southeast of Gansu Province. The extreme low temperature events was related with cold air, the area index of western Pacific subtropical high and the intensity of polar vorticity center in the northern hemisphere in winter, while it was related with subtropical high northern boundary of South China sea, subtropical high northern boundary of the western Pacific and polar vorticity intensity of the Pacific in spring. The composited analysis of geopotential height fields indicated that Mongolia was a cold high pressure center on ground, and polar vorticity center was located in the eastern hemisphere from 500 hPa to 100 hPa, the westerly belt prevailed meridional circulation, and east Asian large trough in the westerly belt was deep and westward, the region of southeast of Gansu was controlled by strong northwest airflow after the trough, which was favourable to forming extreme low temperature events.

Key words: southeast of Gansu Province, extreme low temperature events, climate change, circulation indexes