基于多种模型的黄河源区径流模拟及预估研究

李晓玥, 文军, 陈怡璇, 王卓元, 钟学敏

Runoff simulation and projection in the source region of the Yellow River based on multiple models

LI Xiaoyue, WEN Jun, CHEN Yixuan, WANG Zhuoyuan, ZHONG Xuemin

表3 不同模型模拟的黄河源区唐乃亥站月径流量的评价结果

Tab.3 Evaluation results of monthly runoff at Tangnaihai Station in the source area of the Yellow River simulated by different models

模型名称 率定期（训练期） 验证期 R2 NSE Bias/% R2 NSE Bias/% SWAT 0.78 0.76 -1.68 0.70 0.72 8.78 RF 0.85 0.84 -2.31 0.65 0.62 8.39 BP 0.71 0.70 -5.22 0.55 0.48 12.21 SVM 0.77 0.74 -10.44 0.65 0.60 11.09 LSTM 0.77 0.77 -3.39 0.63 0.53 17.96