SEAS5模式对黑龙江省夏季降水的预测性能评估

王昊, 马浩, 李永生, 刘长征, 姜雨函

Evaluation of the predictive performance of the SEAS5 model for summer precipitation in Heilongjiang Province

WANG Hao, MA Hao, LI Yongsheng, LIU Changzheng, JIANG Yuhan

图5 1993—2023年SEAS5模式Sf3（a、b）、Sf4（c、d）、Sf5（e、f）的黑龙江夏季降水量距平百分率的ACC（a、c、e）及Ps评分（b、d、f）年际变化 （黑色虚线ACC=0.20、红色虚线Ps=60、蓝色虚线Ps=80）

Fig.5 Interannual variations of ACC (a, c, e) and Ps score (b, d, f) for percentage of anomalies of summer precipitation in Heilongjiang from SEAS5 forecasts of Sf3 (a, b), Sf4 (c, d), and Sf5 (e, f) during 1993-2023 (The black dotted line represents ACC=0.20, the red dotted line represents Ps=60, and the blue dotted line represents Ps=80)