基于多模式融合的湖北逐时短时强降水预报方法改进

万羽, 许冠宇, 钟敏, 刘瑞雪, 刘文婷

Improvement of hourly short-term heavy rain forecasting method in Hubei Province based on multi-model integration

WAN Yu, XU Guanyu, ZHONG Min, LIU Ruixue, LIU Wenting

表3 2023年盛夏期湖北短时强降水预报检验

Tab.3 The forecast test about short-term heavy rain during midsummer of 2023 in Hubei

设计方案 POD FAR TS 原业务运行方案 0.257 0.836 0.111 多模式融合消空 0.357 0.824 0.134