青海湖湖温预估研究

董靖玮, 文莉娟, 于涛, 杨永顺, 罗颖, 王梦晓, 牛瑞佳

Prediction of the future temperature in Qinghai Lake

DONG Jingwei, WEN Lijuan, YU Tao, YANG Yongshun, LUO Ying, WANG Mengxiao, NIU Ruijia

图4 2015—2100年CMIP6模式集合不同情景青海湖湖表温度（a）、气温（b）、向下长波辐射（c）、比湿（d）、风速（e）及向下短波辐射（f）的预估结果 （a为青海湖湖表温度模拟结果；rr为湖表温度与不同因素的相关系数，阴影区表示模拟结果正负一个标准差，*表示通过了99%置信水平的显著性检验）

Fig.4 The prediction result of lake surface temperature (a), air temperature (b), downward longwave radiation (c), specific humidity (d), wind speed (e), downward shortwave radiation (f) of Qinghai Lake in different scenarios based on CMIP6 model from 2015 to 2100 （a is the prediction result of lake surface temperature, rr is correlation coefficient between lake surface temperature and different factors, shadow represents plus/minus one standard deviation among the models from their ensemble mean, the star indicates passed the 99% significance test）