流感发病对短期天气变化强度的响应及风险预警研究

赵小芳, 方思达, 雷小妹, 刘敏, 余晓, 徐慧

The response of influenza-like illnesses to short-term weather variability intensity and risk early warning

ZHAO Xiaofang, FANG Sida, LEI Xiaomei, LIU Min, YU Xiao, XU Hui

图5 2009—2020年武汉市滞后0周（a）和2周（b）的SWVI指数与ILI发病率暴露-反应关系（a、b），SWVI分别为第5个百分位数（c，0.0 ℃）、95个百分位数（d，8.0 ℃）时对ILI发病率的滞后效应（c、d）
（黑色实线为相对风险RR值，斜线区域为95%置信区间）

Fig.5 The exposure response relationship between SWVI index and ILI morbidity with a lag of 0 (a) and 2 (b) weeks (a, b), and the lag effect of SWVI index on ILI morbidity (c, d) at the 5^th quantile (c, 0.0 ℃) and the 95^th quantile (d, 8.0℃) in Wuhan during 2009-2020
(The black solid line is the relative risk, the oblique line areas represent the 95% confidence interval)