流感发病对短期天气变化强度的响应及风险预警研究
赵小芳, 方思达, 雷小妹, 刘敏, 余晓, 徐慧

The response of influenza-like illnesses to short-term weather variability intensity and risk early warning
ZHAO Xiaofang, FANG Sida, LEI Xiaomei, LIU Min, YU Xiao, XU Hui
表2 2009—2020年武汉市不同百分位数SWVI指数对ILI发病率影响的相对风险和95%置信区间
Tab.2 The relative risks and 95% confidence interval of ILI morbidity caused by SWVI index with different quantiles in Wuhan during 2009-2020
滞后时间 第5个百分位数(0.0 ℃) 第95个百分位数(8.0 ℃)
滞后0周 1.058(0.918~1.219) 1.117(1.051~1.187)*
滞后1周 1.033(0.971~1.099) 1.043(1.020~1.067)*
滞后2周 1.020(0.947~1.099) 1.016(0.986~1.046)
滞后3周 1.013(0.951~1.078) 1.016(0.988~1.039)
滞后4周 1.007(0.960~1.057) 1.023(1.003~1.043)*
滞后5周 1.001(0.948~1.056) 1.035(1.013~1.058)*
滞后6周 0.993(0.936~1.054) 1.043(1.018~1.068)*
滞后7周 0.983(0.933~1.037) 1.044(1.021~1.066)*
滞后8周 0.974(0.929~1.022) 1.037(1.018~1.056)*
滞后9周 0.968(0.909~1.031) 1.028(1.004~1.053)*