基于分位数映射法的四川省ECMWF模式降水预报误差订正分析
曹萍萍, 肖递祥, 龙柯吉, 王佳津, 杨康权

Deviation correction of precipitation forecast by ECMWF model based on quantile mapping method in Sichuan Province
CAO Pingping, XIAO Dixiang, LONG Keji, WANG Jiajin, YANG Kangquan
图8 2021年9月3日20:00至4日20:00四川省模式36 h(a)和48 h(b)预报时效的40%以上强降水累积概率分布(单位:%)
Fig.8 The cumulative probability distribution of forecasted heavy precipitation more than 40% for 36 h (a) and 48 h (b) leading time in Sichuan Province from 20:00 on 3 to 20:00 on 4 September 2021 (Unit: %)