基于分位数映射法的四川省ECMWF模式降水预报误差订正分析

曹萍萍, 肖递祥, 龙柯吉, 王佳津, 杨康权

Deviation correction of precipitation forecast by ECMWF model based on quantile mapping method in Sichuan Province

CAO Pingping, XIAO Dixiang, LONG Keji, WANG Jiajin, YANG Kangquan

图2 四川省25.0 mm及以上日观测降水量（a）和40%以上模式预报强降水日累积概率（b）的累积概率分布

Fig.2 The cumulative probability distribution of observed daily precipitation more than or equal to 25.0 mm （a） and daily cumulative probability of heavy rainfall more than 40% （b） in Sichuan Province