GRAPES-REPS对我国南方2017年初夏持续性降水预报的检验评估

王叶红, 赵玉春

Verification and assessment of persistent rainfall forecasts of GRAPES-REPS in pre-summer of 2017 in southern China

WANG Yehong, ZHAO Yuchun

图3 不同时效各量级24 h累积降水量集合预报的平均BS（a）和BSS（b）

Fig.3 Mean Brier scores （a） and Brier skill scores （b） for 24 h accumulated precipitation ensemble forecasts with different magnitudes at different lead time