基于CMIP6模式的黄河流域宁夏段未来气温变化预估研究

马阳, 崔洋, 张雯, 李欣

Projection of the future temperature changes of Yellow River Basin Ningxia section based on CMIP6 models

MA Yang, CUI Yang, ZHANG Wen, LI Xin

图3 1961—2014年宁夏年平均气温（a）、30 a滑动增温速率（b）的观测值及CMIP6多模式集合模拟值 （浅色阴影为模式模拟最大值至最小值的范围，深色阴影为模式模拟第25%至75%分位数的范围。下同）

Fig.3 The observations and the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble simulation values of the annual mean air temperature （a） and the 30-year sliding warming rate （b） in Ningxia from 1961 to 2014 （The light shaded is the range from the maximum to the minimum of the model simulation， and the dark shaded is the range from the 25% to 75% of the model simulation. the same as below）