基于CMA-MESO的分级短时强降水概率预报方法研究
钟敏, 肖安, 许冠宇

Study on probability forecast method about graded short-term heavy rain based on CMA-MESO
ZHONG Min, XIAO An, XU Guanyu
表4 不同等级短时强降水样本LCL和H0百分位统计
Tab.4 Percentile statistics of physical quantities of LCL and H0 during short-term heavy precipitation samples with different grades
物理量 百分位 I级 Ⅱ级 Ⅲ级 IV级
LCL/hPa 75% 982.24 983.82 983.86 983.41
50% 963.51 967.76 970.37 967.15
25% 940.18 948.97 952.82 945.92
H0/m 75% 5656.11 5656.68 5656.74 5650.09
50% 5515.68 5515.68 5520.86 5522.82
25% 5349.48 5347.85 5344.15 5314.91