全球和区域数值模式在甘肃2020年汛期降水预报中的检验评估

陈晓燕, 孔祥伟, 彭筱, 刘新伟, 吴晶, 任淑媛

Verification and assessment of precipitation forecast based on global and regional numerical models in Gansu in flood season of 2020

CHEN Xiaoyan, KONG Xiangwei, PENG Xiao, LIU Xinwei, WU Jing, REN Shuyuan

图6 2020年8月15—17日降水过程MODE检验识别的暴雨合成目标 （数字1表示各模式与观测配对成功的目标对,蓝色区域为暴雨落区。下同） （a）ECMWF,（b）SMS-WARMS,（c）GRAPES_3 km,（d）观测

Fig.6 The matching objects of rainstorm identified by MODE method during the rainfall process on 15-17 August 2020 （The number “1” represents a successful target pair of observation and model forecast, the blue area is rainstorm area. the same as below） （a）ECMWF,（b）SMS-WARMS,（c）GRAPES_3 km,（d）observation