基于数值预报与雷达外推预报融合方法的降水回波短临预报试验研究 |
王俊超, 王志斌, 赖安伟, 肖艳姣, 王珏 |
Experimental study on short-term and impending prediction of precipitation echo based on blending method of numerical prediction and radar extrapolation prediction |
WANG Junchao, WANG Zhibin, LAI Anwei, XIAO Yanjiao, WANG Jue |
图7 4次降水过程不同阈值2种方法降水回波预报的平均ETS评分随预报时效变化 (a)10 dBZ,(b) 20 dBZ,(c) 30 dBZ,(d) 40 dBZ |
Fig.7 The change of average ETS scores of precipitation echo prediction by two methods for different thresholds with prediction time for four precipitation processes (a)10 dBZ,(b)20 dBZ,(c)30 dBZ,(d)40 dBZ |