统计降尺度方法在天津小时降水和气温精细化预报中的应用

田笑, 余文韬, 从靖, 周红梅

Fine prediction of hourly precipitation and air temperature of Tianjin based on statistical downscaling in ECMWF model

TIAN Xiao, YU Wentao, CONG Jing, ZHOU Hongmei

图2 2018年7月1日至8月31日1~96 h时效1 h累计降水的ECMWF模式预报(蓝线)及频率匹配法订正后(红线)和二次订正后(绿线)的平均相对误差曲线

Fig.2 The average relative error of ECMWF model forecast (blue line) and its revised curves by using frequency matching method (red line) and secondary correction (green line) about 1-hour accumulated precipitation for 1-96 h forecast time from July 1 to August 31, 2018