统计降尺度方法在天津小时降水和气温精细化预报中的应用
田笑, 余文韬, 从靖, 周红梅

Fine prediction of hourly precipitation and air temperature of Tianjin based on statistical downscaling in ECMWF model
TIAN Xiao, YU Wentao, CONG Jing, ZHOU Hongmei
图1 2018年7月1日至8月31日1~96 h时效1 h累计降水的ECMWF模式预报(蓝线),频率匹配法订正后(红线)及二次订正后(绿线)的晴雨预报准确率曲线
Fig.1 The accuracy of rain probability forecast by ECMWF model (blue line) and its revised curves by using frequency matching method (red line) and secondary correction (green line) about 1-hour accumulated precipitation for 1-96 h forecast time from July 1 to August 31, 2018