统计降尺度方法在天津小时降水和气温精细化预报中的应用 |
田笑, 余文韬, 从靖, 周红梅 |
Fine prediction of hourly precipitation and air temperature of Tianjin based on statistical downscaling in ECMWF model |
TIAN Xiao, YU Wentao, CONG Jing, ZHOU Hongmei |
图1 2018年7月1日至8月31日1~96 h时效1 h累计降水的ECMWF模式预报(蓝线),频率匹配法订正后(红线)及二次订正后(绿线)的晴雨预报准确率曲线 |
Fig.1 The accuracy of rain probability forecast by ECMWF model (blue line) and its revised curves by using frequency matching method (red line) and secondary correction (green line) about 1-hour accumulated precipitation for 1-96 h forecast time from July 1 to August 31, 2018 |
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